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Off the Block crunched the numbers using the same criteria as the selection committee to show how the top teams in the nation fare against each other in the race for the two at-large bids and NCAA Tournament positioning.
Below are all of the criteria categories the selection committee uses to determine the NCAA Tournament field.
— KPI rankings
— RPI ranking
— Strength of schedule
— Won-lost results
— Head-to-head competition
— Results versus non-conference opponents
— Home and away results
— Results against common opponents
— Results against teams already qualified and other teams under consideration
— Eligibility and availability of student-athletes for NCAA championships.
There is no requirement for the committee to give additional weight to a certain category.
Here’s how the at-large bids and tournament seeding races look right now using the selection committee criteria.
[Editor’s note: Teams projected to qualify or be under consideration are Ball State, Belmont Abbey, BYU, Fort Valley State, Grand Canyon, Hawai’i, Long Beach State, Penn State and UCLA. UCLA and Long Beach State based on the bracketology data are virtual locks for the top two seeds and at-large bids if they lose in the conference tournament.]
Race for the No. 1 overall seed
UCLA vs. Long Beach State
KPI ranking: UCLA No. 1 (0.642); Long Beach State No. 2 (0.474). Edge: UCLA
RPI ranking: UCLA No. 1 (0.68086); Long Beach State No. 2 (0.63975). Edge: UCLA
Strength of schedule: UCLA No. 1; Long Beach State No. 30. Edge: UCLA
Won-lost results: UCLA 20-4; Long Beach State 22-1. Edge: Long Beach State
Head-to-head competition: Season series tied at 1-1. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: UCLA 11-3; Long Beach State 14-1. Edge: Long Beach State
Home record: UCLA 9-1; Long Beach State 16-0. Edge: UCLA
Road record: UCLA 7-2; Long Beach State 5-1. Edge: Long Beach State
Record vs. common opponents: UCLA 6-1; Long Beach State 6-0. Edge: Long Beach State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: UCLA 9-2; Long Beach State 4-1. Edge: UCLA
Race for the at-large bid
Grand Canyon vs. Hawai’i
KPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 3 (0.462); Hawai’i No. 6 (0.368). Edge: Grand Canyon
RPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 3 (0.62585); Hawai’i No. 6 (0.60495). Edge: Grand Canyon
Strength of schedule: Grand Canyon No. 19; Hawai’i No. 25. Edge: Grand Canyon
Won-lost results: Grand Canyon 20-4; Hawai’i 21-5. Edge: Grand Canyon
Head-to-head competition: Hawai’i won the season series 1-0. Edge: Hawai’i
Non-conference record: Grand Canyon 12-2; Hawai’i 16-1. Edge: Hawai’i
Home record: Grand Canyon 8-0; Hawai’i 17-2. Edge: Grand Canyon
Road record: Grand Canyon 8-3; Hawai’i 4-3. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. common opponents: Grand Canyon 6-1; Hawai’i 8-2. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Grand Canyon 2-4; Hawai’i 4-3. Edge: Hawai’i
Grand Canyon vs. UC Irvine
KPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 3 (0.462); UC Irvine No. 4 (0.387). Edge: Grand Canyon
RPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 3 (0.62585); UC Irvine No. 7 (0.60314) . Edge: Grand Canyon
Strength of schedule: Grand Canyon No. 19; UC Irvine No. 8. Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results: Grand Canyon 20-4; UC Irvine 17-8. Edge: Grand Canyon
Head-to-head competition: UC Irvine won season series 1-0. Edge: UC Irvine
Non-conference record: Grand Canyon 12-2; UC Irvine 11-5. Edge: Hawai’i
Home record: Grand Canyon 8-0; UC Irvine 8-4. Edge: Grand Canyon
Road record: Grand Canyon 8-3; UC Irvine 7-4. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. common opponents: Grand Canyon 15-3; UC Irvine 13-7. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Grand Canyon 2-4; UC Irvine 4-4. Edge: UC Irvine
Grand Canyon vs. BYU
KPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 3 (0.462); BYU No. 5 (0.376). Edge: Grand Canyon
RPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 3 (0.62585); BYU No. 4 (0.60827) . Edge: Grand Canyon
Strength of schedule: Grand Canyon No. 19; BYU No. 5. Edge: BYU
Won-lost results: Grand Canyon 20-4; BYU 16-8. Edge: Grand Canyon
Head-to-head competition: Grand Canyon leads series 2-0. Edge: Grand Canyon
Non-conference record: Grand Canyon 12-2; BYU 9-3. Edge: Grand Canyon
Home record: Grand Canyon 8-0; BYU 9-5. Edge: Grand Canyon
Road record: Grand Canyon 8-3; BYU 7-3. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. common opponents: Grand Canyon 8-3; BYU 9-6. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Grand Canyon 2-4; BYU 3-5. Edge: BYU
Hawai’i vs. UC Irvine
KPI ranking: Hawai’i No. 6 (0.368); UC Irvine No. 4 (0.387). Edge: UC Irvine
RPI ranking: Hawai’i No. 6 (0.60495); UC Irvine No. 7 (0.60314). Edge: Hawai’i
Strength of schedule: Hawai’i No. 25; UC Irvine No. 8. Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results: Hawai’i 21-5; UC Irvine 17-8. Edge: Hawai’i
Head-to-head competition: Hawai’i leads series 2-1. Edge: Hawai’i
Non-conference record: Hawai’i 16-1; UC Irvine 11-5. Edge: Hawai’i
Home record: Hawai’i 17-2; UC Irvine 9-3. Edge: Hawai’i
Road record: Hawai’i 4-3; UC Irvine 7-4. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. common opponents: Hawai’i 7-3; UC Irvine 8-2. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Hawai’i 4-3; UC Irvine 4-4. Edge: Hawai’i
Hawai’i vs. BYU
KPI ranking: Hawai’i No. 6 (0.368); BYU No. 5 (0.376). Edge: BYU
RPI ranking: Hawai’i No. 6 (0.60495); BYU No. 4 (0.60827). Edge: BYU
Strength of schedule: Hawai’i No. 25; BYU No. 5. Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results: Hawai’i 21-5; BYU 16-8. Edge: Hawai’i
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other this season. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Hawai’i 16-1; BYU 9-3. Edge: Hawai’i
Home record: Hawai’i 17-2; BYU 9-5. Edge: Hawai’i
Road record: Hawai’i 4-3; BYU 7-3. Edge: BYU
Record vs. common opponents: Hawai’i 10-2; BYU 6-6. Edge: Hawai’i
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Hawai’i 4-3; BYU 3-5. Edge: Hawai’i
UC Irvine vs. BYU
KPI ranking: UC Irvine No. 4 (0.387); BYU No. 5 (0.376). Edge: UC Irvine
RPI ranking: UC Irvine No. 7 (0.60314); BYU No. 4 (0.60827). Edge: BYU
Strength of schedule: UC Irvine No. 8; BYU No. 5. Edge: BYU
Won-lost results: UC Irvine 17-8; BYU 16-8. Edge: UC Irvine
Head-to-head competition: UC Irvine won series 2-0. Edge: UC Irvine
Non-conference record: UC Irvine 11-5; BYU 9-3. Edge: BYU
Home record: UC Irvine 9-3; BYU 9-5. Edge: UC Irvine
Road record: UC Irvine 7-4; BYU 7-3. Edge: BYU
Record vs. common opponents: UC Irvine 9-4; BYU 9-6. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: UC Irvine 4-4; BYU 3-5. Edge: UC Irvine
Seeding race
Ball State vs. Penn State
KPI ranking: Ball State No. 12 (0.230); Penn State No. 8 (0.328). Edge: Penn State
RPI ranking: Ball State No. 12 (0.56542); Penn State No. 8 (0.59970). Edge: Penn State
Strength of schedule: Ball State No. 28; Penn State No. 24. Edge: Penn State
Won-lost results: Ball State 17-9; Penn State 19-6. Edge: Penn State
Head-to-head competition: Penn State won season series 1-0. Edge: Penn State
Non-conference record: Ball State 4-6; Penn State 11-6. Edge: Penn State
Home record: Ball State 11-3; Penn State 11-0. Edge: Penn State
Road record: Ball State 6-4; Penn State 8-3. Edge: Penn State
Record vs. common opponents: Ball State 4-4; Penn State 3-3. Edge: Push
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Ball State 0-4; Penn State 1-3. Edge: Penn State
Belmont Abbey vs. Fort Valley State
KPI ranking: Belmont Abbey No. 24; Fort Valley State No. 46. Edge: Belmont Abbey
RPI ranking: Belmont Abbey No. 28; Fort Valley State No. 48. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Strength of schedule: Belmont Abbey No. 52; Fort Valley State No. 57. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Won-lost results: Belmont Abbey 18-4; Fort Valley State 9-7. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other this season Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Belmont Abbey 5-3; Fort Valley State 1-7. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Home record: Belmont Abbey 8-3; Fort Valley State 6-1. Edge: Fort Valley State
Road record: Belmont Abbey 7-1; Fort Valley State 3-5. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Record vs. common opponents: Belmont Abbey 5-2; Fort Valley State 1-3. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Belmont Abbey 0-0; Fort Valley State 0-0. Edge: Push