Bracketology: Off the Block’s latest NCAA Tournament projections

Off the Block each week throughout the rest of the regular season and during the postseason will unveil its latest detailed projections to the NCAA Tournament.

The men’s volleyball Division I-II NCAA Tournament is comprised of eight teams. Automatic bids are awarded to the winners of the Big West, ConfCarolinas, EIVA, MIVA, MPSF and SIAC conference tournaments, and the NCAA men’s volleyball committee selects two teams for at-large bids.


The five-person selection committee meets following all of the conference tournaments to decide the at-large teams and the tournament seeding. The field for the NCAA Tournament is scheduled to be released during Selection Sunday on April 21.

The NCAA Tournament will begin with all four quarterfinal matches on Tuesday, April 30 at Long Beach State.

Off the Block is in its 13th season of providing college men’s volleyball bracketology.

NCAA Tournament projections

Last-four teams out

UC Irvine
Ohio State

Quick breakdown: The race for the final at-large bid remains tight with Hawai’i holding a slight edge over both BYU and UC Irvine. If Hawai’i can win its two remaining regular season matches against UCS San Diego, it is projected to move ahead of BYU in the KPI and narrow the gap to BYU in the RPI. Hawai’i continues to lead BYU and UC Irvine in the criteria categories of record against teams under NCAA Tournament consideration and overall record. It also holds a head-to-head advantage against UC Irvine. The Hawai’i hold on the final at-large bid, though, remains tenuous and could fall out of the spot with a loss or a UC Irvine win against No. 1/1 Long Beach State this weekend. Along with the race for the final at-large bid, Grand Canyon remains in position to receive an at-large bid following its two losses to No. 2/2 UCLA during the weekend. The team is No. 3 in both RPI and KPI and can further bolster its bracketology data with two victories against Pepperdine. UCLA and Long Beach State entering the final week of the regular season have become virtual locks for the top two seeds in the NCAA Tournament.