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Off the Block crunched the numbers using the same criteria as the selection committee to show how the top teams in the nation fare against each other in the race for the two at-large bids and NCAA Tournament positioning.
Below are all of the criteria categories the selection committee uses to determine the NCAA Tournament field.
— KPI rankings
— RPI ranking
— Strength of schedule
— Won-lost results
— Head-to-head competition
— Results versus non-conference opponents
— Home and away results
— Results against common opponents
— Results against teams already qualified and other teams under consideration
— Eligibility and availability of student-athletes for NCAA championships.
There is no requirement for the committee to give additional weight to a certain category.
Here’s how the at-large bids and tournament seeding races look right now using the selection committee criteria.
[Editor’s note: Teams projected to qualify or be under consideration are Belmont Abbey, BYU, Fort Valley State, Grand Canyon, Hawai’i, Long Beach State, Ohio State, Penn State and UCLA. UCLA based on the bracketology data is a lock for the top seed, even if they lose in the conference tournament. Long Beach State and Grand Canyon are also locks to make the NCAA Tournament.]
Race for the No. 2 overall seed
Grand Canyon vs. Long Beach State
KPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.503); Long Beach State No. 3 (0.484). Edge: Grand Canyon
RPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.63540); Long Beach State No. 3 (0.63441). Edge: Grand Canyon
Strength of schedule: Grand Canyon No. 19; Long Beach State No. 24. Edge: Grand Canyon
Won-lost results: Grand Canyon 24-4; Long Beach State 23-2. Edge: Long Beach State
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other this season. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Grand Canyon 12-2; Long Beach State 14-1. Edge: Long Beach State
Home record: Grand Canyon 10-0; Long Beach State 17-0. Edge: Push
Road record: Grand Canyon 8-3; Long Beach State 5-2. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. common opponents: Grand Canyon 13-4; Long Beach State 15-2. Edge: Long Beach State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Grand Canyon 2-4; Long Beach State 5-2. Edge: UCLA
Race for the at-large bid
Grand Canyon vs. Hawai’i
KPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.503); Hawai’i No. 6 (0.366). Edge: Grand Canyon
RPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.63540); Hawai’i No. 8 (0.59710). Edge: Grand Canyon
Strength of schedule: Grand Canyon No. 19; Hawai’i No. 23. Edge: Grand Canyon
Won-lost results: Grand Canyon 24-4; Hawai’i 23-6. Edge: Grand Canyon
Head-to-head competition: Hawai’i won the season series 1-0. Edge: Hawai’i
Non-conference record: Grand Canyon 12-2; Hawai’i 16-1. Edge: Hawai’i
Home record: Grand Canyon 10-0; Hawai’i 17-2. Edge: Grand Canyon
Road record: Grand Canyon 8-3; Hawai’i 5-4. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. common opponents: Grand Canyon 7-1; Hawai’i 9-3. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Grand Canyon 2-4; Hawai’i 3-3. Edge: Hawai’i
Grand Canyon vs. UC Irvine
KPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.504); UC Irvine No. 4 (0.419). Edge: Grand Canyon
RPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.63540); UC Irvine No. 4 (0.63441) . Edge: Grand Canyon
Strength of schedule: Grand Canyon No. 19; UC Irvine No. 4. Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results: Grand Canyon 24-4; UC Irvine 18-9. Edge: Grand Canyon
Head-to-head competition: UC Irvine won season series 1-0. Edge: UC Irvine
Non-conference record: Grand Canyon 12-2; UC Irvine 11-5. Edge: Grand Canyon
Home record: Grand Canyon 10-0; UC Irvine 9-4. Edge: Grand Canyon
Road record: Grand Canyon 8-3; UC Irvine 7-5. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. common opponents: Grand Canyon 17-3; UC Irvine 13-7. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Grand Canyon 2-4; UC Irvine 5-5. Edge: UC Irvine
Hawai’i vs. UC Irvine
KPI ranking: Hawai’i No. 6 (0.366); UC Irvine No. 4 (0.419). Edge: UC Irvine
RPI ranking: Hawai’i No. 8 (0.59710); UC Irvine No. 4 (0.60939). Edge: UC Irvine
Strength of schedule: Hawai’i No. 23; UC Irvine No. 4. Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results: Hawai’i 23-6; UC Irvine 18-9. Edge: Hawai’i
Head-to-head competition: Hawai’i leads series 2-1. Edge: Hawai’i
Non-conference record: Hawai’i 16-1; UC Irvine 11-5. Edge: Hawai’i
Home record: Hawai’i 17-2; UC Irvine 10-3. Edge: Hawai’i
Road record: Hawai’i 5-4; UC Irvine 7-5. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. common opponents: Hawai’i 8-4; UC Irvine 9-3. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Hawai’i 3-3; UC Irvine 5-5. Edge: Push
Seeding race
Ohio State vs. Penn State
KPI ranking: Ohio State No. 5 (0.370); Penn State No. 7 (0.351). Edge: Ohio State
RPI ranking: Ohio State No. 6 (0.60606); Penn State No. 5 (0.60831). Edge: Penn State
Strength of schedule: Ohio State No. 7; Penn State No. 15. Edge: Penn State
Won-lost results: Ohio State 21-8; Penn State 22-6. Edge: Penn State
Head-to-head competition: Penn State won season series 2-0. Edge: Penn State
Non-conference record: Ohio State 8-3; Penn State 11-6. Edge: Ohio State
Home record: Ohio State 12-3; Penn State 14-0. Edge: Penn State
Road record: Ohio State 6-5; Penn State 8-3. Edge: Penn State
Record vs. common opponents: Ohio State 9-3; Penn State 4-5. Edge: Ohio State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Ohio State 1-3; Penn State 2-3. Edge: Penn State
Belmont Abbey vs. Fort Valley State
KPI ranking: Belmont Abbey No. 23; Fort Valley State No. 43. Edge: Belmont Abbey
RPI ranking: Belmont Abbey No. 26; Fort Valley State No. 43. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Strength of schedule: Belmont Abbey No. 52; Fort Valley State No. 57. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Won-lost results: Belmont Abbey 19-4; Fort Valley State 13-7. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other this season Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Belmont Abbey 5-3; Fort Valley State 1-7. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Home record: Belmont Abbey 9-3; Fort Valley State 6-1. Edge: Fort Valley State
Road record: Belmont Abbey 7-1; Fort Valley State 5-5. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Record vs. common opponents: Belmont Abbey 5-2; Fort Valley State 1-3. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Belmont Abbey 0-0; Fort Valley State 0-0. Edge: Push