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Off the Block crunched the numbers using the same criteria as the selection committee to show how the top teams in the nation fare against each other in the race for the two at-large bids and NCAA Tournament positioning.
Below are all of the criteria categories the selection committee uses to determine the NCAA Tournament field.
— KPI rankings
— RPI ranking
— Strength of schedule
— Won-lost results
— Head-to-head competition
— Results versus non-conference opponents
— Home and away results
— Results against common opponents
— Results against teams already qualified and other teams under consideration
— Eligibility and availability of student-athletes for NCAA championships.
There is no requirement for the committee to give additional weight to a certain category.
Here’s how the at-large bids and tournament seeding races look right now using the selection committee criteria.
[Editor’s note: Teams projected to qualify or be under consideration are Ball State, Belmont Abbey, BYU, Fort Valley State, Grand Canyon, Hawai’i, Long Beach State, Penn State and UCLA. UCLA based on the bracketology data is a lock for the top seed, even if they lose in the conference tournament. Long Beach State and Grand Canyon are also locks to the make the NCAA Tournament baring an upset champion in the MPSF or Big West]
Race for the No. 2 overall seed
Grand Canyon vs. Long Beach State
KPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.516); Long Beach State No. 3 (0.494). Edge: Grand Canyon
RPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.63540); Long Beach State No. 3 (0.63441). Edge: Grand Canyon
Strength of schedule: Grand Canyon No. 16; Long Beach State No. 23. Edge: Grand Canyon
Won-lost results: Grand Canyon 22-4; Long Beach State 23-2. Edge: Long Beach State
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other this season. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Grand Canyon 12-2; Long Beach State 14-1. Edge: Long Beach State
Home record: Grand Canyon 10-0; Long Beach State 17-0. Edge: Push
Road record: Grand Canyon 8-3; Long Beach State 5-2. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. common opponents: Grand Canyon 12-4; Long Beach State 15-2. Edge: Long Beach State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Grand Canyon 2-4; Long Beach State 5-2. Edge: UCLA
Race for the at-large bid
Grand Canyon vs. Hawai’i
KPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.516); Hawai’i No. 6 (0.372). Edge: Grand Canyon
RPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.63540); Hawai’i No. 8 (0.59710). Edge: Grand Canyon
Strength of schedule: Grand Canyon No. 16; Hawai’i No. 28. Edge: Grand Canyon
Won-lost results: Grand Canyon 22-4; Hawai’i 22-6. Edge: Grand Canyon
Head-to-head competition: Hawai’i won the season series 1-0. Edge: Hawai’i
Non-conference record: Grand Canyon 12-2; Hawai’i 16-1. Edge: Hawai’i
Home record: Grand Canyon 10-0; Hawai’i 17-2. Edge: Grand Canyon
Road record: Grand Canyon 8-3; Hawai’i 5-4. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. common opponents: Grand Canyon 6-1; Hawai’i 9-3. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Grand Canyon 2-4; Hawai’i 4-3. Edge: Hawai’i
Grand Canyon vs. UC Irvine
KPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.516); UC Irvine No. 4 (0.427). Edge: Grand Canyon
RPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.63540); UC Irvine No. 4 (0.63441) . Edge: Grand Canyon
Strength of schedule: Grand Canyon No. 16; UC Irvine No. 4. Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results: Grand Canyon 22-4; UC Irvine 18-9. Edge: Grand Canyon
Head-to-head competition: UC Irvine won season series 1-0. Edge: UC Irvine
Non-conference record: Grand Canyon 12-2; UC Irvine 11-5. Edge: Grand Canyon
Home record: Grand Canyon 10-0; UC Irvine 9-4. Edge: Grand Canyon
Road record: Grand Canyon 8-3; UC Irvine 7-5. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. common opponents: Grand Canyon 15-3; UC Irvine 13-7. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Grand Canyon 2-4; UC Irvine 5-5. Edge: UC Irvine
Grand Canyon vs. BYU
KPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.516); BYU No. 5 (0.382). Edge: Grand Canyon
RPI ranking: Grand Canyon No. 2 (0.63540); BYU No. 7 (0.60542) . Edge: Grand Canyon
Strength of schedule: Grand Canyon No. 16; BYU No. 5. Edge: BYU
Won-lost results: Grand Canyon 22-4; BYU 16-8. Edge: Grand Canyon
Head-to-head competition: Grand Canyon leads series 2-0. Edge: Grand Canyon
Non-conference record: Grand Canyon 12-2; BYU 9-3. Edge: Grand Canyon
Home record: Grand Canyon 10-0; BYU 9-5. Edge: Grand Canyon
Road record: Grand Canyon 8-3; BYU 7-3. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. common opponents: Grand Canyon 10-3; BYU 9-6. Edge: Grand Canyon
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Grand Canyon 2-4; BYU 3-5. Edge: BYU
Hawai’i vs. UC Irvine
KPI ranking: Hawai’i No. 6 (0.372); UC Irvine No. 4 (0.427). Edge: UC Irvine
RPI ranking: Hawai’i No. 8 (0.59710); UC Irvine No. 4 (0.60939). Edge: UC Irvine
Strength of schedule: Hawai’i No. 28; UC Irvine No. 4. Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results: Hawai’i 22-6; UC Irvine 18-9. Edge: Hawai’i
Head-to-head competition: Hawai’i leads series 2-1. Edge: Hawai’i
Non-conference record: Hawai’i 16-1; UC Irvine 11-5. Edge: Hawai’i
Home record: Hawai’i 17-2; UC Irvine 10-3. Edge: Hawai’i
Road record: Hawai’i 5-4; UC Irvine 7-5. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. common opponents: Hawai’i 8-4; UC Irvine 9-3. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Hawai’i 4-3; UC Irvine 5-5. Edge: Hawai’i
Hawai’i vs. BYU
KPI ranking: Hawai’i No. 6 (0.372); BYU No. 5 (0.382). Edge: BYU
RPI ranking: Hawai’i No. 8 (0.59710); BYU No. 7 (0.60542). Edge: BYU
Strength of schedule: Hawai’i No. 28; BYU No. 5. Edge: BYU
Won-lost results: Hawai’i 22-6; BYU 16-8. Edge: Hawai’i
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other this season. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Hawai’i 16-1; BYU 9-3. Edge: Hawai’i
Home record: Hawai’i 17-2; BYU 9-5. Edge: Hawai’i
Road record: Hawai’i 5-4; BYU 7-3. Edge: BYU
Record vs. common opponents: Hawai’i 10-2; BYU 6-6. Edge: Hawai’i
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Hawai’i 4-3; BYU 3-5. Edge: Hawai’i
UC Irvine vs. BYU
KPI ranking: UC Irvine No. 4 (0.427); BYU No. 5 (0.382). Edge: UC Irvine
RPI ranking: UC Irvine No. 4 (0.60939); BYU No. 7 (0.60542). Edge: UC Irvine
Strength of schedule: UC Irvine No. 4; BYU No. 5. Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results: UC Irvine 18-9; BYU 16-8. Edge: Push
Head-to-head competition: UC Irvine won series 2-0. Edge: UC Irvine
Non-conference record: UC Irvine 11-5; BYU 9-3. Edge: BYU
Home record: UC Irvine 10-3; BYU 9-5. Edge: UC Irvine
Road record: UC Irvine 7-5; BYU 7-3. Edge: BYU
Record vs. common opponents: UC Irvine 9-4; BYU 9-6. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: UC Irvine 5-5; BYU 3-5. Edge: UC Irvine
Seeding race
Ball State vs. Penn State
KPI ranking: Ball State No. 11 (0.239); Penn State No. 7 (0.353). Edge: Penn State
RPI ranking: Ball State No. 12 (0.56517); Penn State No. 5 (0.60831). Edge: Penn State
Strength of schedule: Ball State No. 25; Penn State No. 19. Edge: Penn State
Won-lost results: Ball State 18-9; Penn State 21-6. Edge: Penn State
Head-to-head competition: Penn State won season series 1-0. Edge: Penn State
Non-conference record: Ball State 4-6; Penn State 11-6. Edge: Penn State
Home record: Ball State 12-3; Penn State 13-0. Edge: Penn State
Road record: Ball State 6-4; Penn State 8-3. Edge: Penn State
Record vs. common opponents: Ball State 4-4; Penn State 3-3. Edge: Push
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Ball State 0-4; Penn State 1-3. Edge: Penn State
Belmont Abbey vs. Fort Valley State
KPI ranking: Belmont Abbey No. 24; Fort Valley State No. 44. Edge: Belmont Abbey
RPI ranking: Belmont Abbey No. 26; Fort Valley State No. 43. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Strength of schedule: Belmont Abbey No. 53; Fort Valley State No. 58. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Won-lost results: Belmont Abbey 19-4; Fort Valley State 11-7. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other this season Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Belmont Abbey 5-3; Fort Valley State 1-7. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Home record: Belmont Abbey 9-3; Fort Valley State 6-1. Edge: Fort Valley State
Road record: Belmont Abbey 7-1; Fort Valley State 5-5. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Record vs. common opponents: Belmont Abbey 5-2; Fort Valley State 1-3. Edge: Belmont Abbey
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Belmont Abbey 0-0; Fort Valley State 0-0. Edge: Push