Selction Sunday Bracketology: Team comparisons using committee criteria

All the data to the selection committee and now it’s just waiting for the bracket to be unveiled on Sunday.

Off the Block has crunched the numbers using the same criteria as the selection committee to show how the top teams in the nation fare against each other in the race for the two at-large bids and NCAA Tournament seeding.

Below are all of the criteria categories the selection committee uses to determine the NCAA Tournament field.
— RPI ranking
— Strength of schedule
— Won-lost results
— Head-to-head competition
— Results versus non-conference opponents
— Home and away results
— Results against common opponents
— Results against teams already qualified and other teams under consideration
— Eligibility and availability of student-athletes for NCAA championships.

Committee chair Janine Oman said in an interview with Off the Block earlier this week that the committee this season has not yet decided to place any additional emphasis on a certain piece of criteria.

The six-team NCAA Tournament will comprised of conference automatic bids from the MIVA, MPSF, EIVA and Conference Carolinas along with two at-large bids.

Here’s how the at-large bids and tournament seeding races look right now using the selection committee criteria and giving equal weight to each criteria category.

[Editor’s note: Teams projected to qualify or be under consideration are Barton, BYU, Hawai’i, Lewis, Long Beach State, Ohio State and UC Irvine. The RPI and strength of schedule rankings are updated Sunday morning for the selection committee, but typically are not made public until after the brackets are unveiled. As a result, a projected RPI and strength of schedule rankings for this bracketology. Those projections are based off of the latest rankings released earlier this week and this week’s results in the conference tournament.]

POTENTIAL NCAA TOURNAMENT SEEDING AND AT-LARGE BID BATTLES

Ohio State vs. Long Beach State
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: Ohio State
Projected Strength of schedule: Edge: Long Beach State
Won-lost results: Ohio State 30-2; Long Beach State 27-3. Edge: Ohio State
Head-to-head competition: Ohio State won season series 1-0. Edge: Ohio State
Non-conference record: Ohio State 11-2; Long Beach State 7-1. Edge: Long Beach State
Home record: Ohio State 19-1; Long Beach State 16-0. Edge: Long Beach State
Road record: Ohio State 11-1; Long Beach State 7-3. Edge: Ohio State
Record vs. common opponents: Ohio State 17-1; Long Beach State 14-1. Edge: Ohio State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Ohio State 5-2; Long Beach State 7-2. Edge: Long Beach State
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Ohio State

Ohio State vs. BYU
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: Ohio State
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: BYU
Won-lost results: Ohio State 30-2; BYU 24-4. Edge: Ohio State
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Ohio State 11-2; BYU 5-1. Edge: Ohio State
Home record: Ohio State 19-1; BYU 13-2. Edge: Ohio State
Road record: Ohio State 11-1; BYU 11-1. Edge: Push
Record vs. common opponents: Ohio State 12-1; BYU 13-3. Edge: Ohio State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Ohio State 5-2; BYU 4-3. Edge: Ohio State
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Ohio State

Long Beach State vs. BYU
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: Long Beach State
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: BYU
Won-lost results: Long Beach State 27-3; BYU 24-4. Edge: Long Beach State
Head-to-head competition: Season series tied 1-1. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Long Beach State 7-1; BYU 5-1. Edge: Long Beach State
Home record: Long Beach State 16-0; BYU 13-2. Edge: Long Beach State
Road record: Long Beach State 7-3; BYU 11-1. Edge: BYU
Record vs. common opponents: Long Beach State 22-1; BYU 22-3. Edge: Long Beach State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Long Beach State 7-2; BYU 4-3. Edge: Long Beach State
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Long Beach State

Hawai’i vs. BYU
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: BYU
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: BYU
Won-lost results: Hawai’i 24-5; BYU 24-4. Edge: BYU
Head-to-head competition: BYU won season series 2-1. Edge: BYU
Non-conference record: Hawai’i 7-0; BYU 5-1. Edge: Hawai’i
Home record: Hawai’i 16-0; BYU 13-2. Edge: Hawai’i
Road record: Hawai’i 7-5; BYU 11-1. Edge: BYU
Record vs. common opponents: Hawai’i 18-3; BYU 18-2. Edge: BYU
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Hawai’i 2-5; BYU 4-3. Edge: BYU
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: BYU

BYU vs. UC Irvine
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: BYU
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results: BYU 24-4; UC Irvine 20-7. Edge: BYU
Head-to-head competition: Tied at 1-1. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: BYU 5-1; UC Irvine 6-0. Edge: UC Irvine
Home record: BYU 13-2; UC Irvine 9-3. Edge: BYU
Road record: BYU 11-1; UC Irvine 10-4. Edge: BYU
Record vs. common opponents: BYU 18-1; UC Irvine 14-6. Edge: BYU
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: BYU 4-3; Hawai’i 2-5. Edge: BYU
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: BYU

Hawai’i vs. UC Irvine
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: Hawai’i
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results: Hawai’i 24-5; UC Irvine 20-7. Edge: Hawai’i
Head-to-head competition: Hawai’i leads season series 1-0. Edge: Hawai’i
Non-conference record: Hawai’i 7-0; UC Irvine 6-0. Edge: Push
Home record: Hawai’i 16-0; UC Irvine 9-3. Edge: Hawai’i
Road record: Hawai’i 7-5; UC Irvine 10-4. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. common opponents: Hawai’i 19-5; UC Irvine 16-5. Edge: Hawai’i
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: UC Irvine 2-5; Hawai’i 2-5. Edge: Push
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Hawai’i

Penn State vs. Barton
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: Penn State
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: Penn State
Won-lost results: Penn State 21-10; Barton 22-5. Edge: Barton
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other this season. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Penn State 8-7; Barton 3-3. Edge: Penn State
Home record: Penn State 13-3; Barton 15-0. Edge: Barton
Road record: Penn State 6-6; Barton 7-4. Edge: Barton
Record vs. common opponents: Penn State 5-2; Barton 5-2. Edge: Push
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Penn State 1-4; Barton 0-1. Edge: Penn State
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Penn State