Updated MPSF Tournament: Possible seeding scenarios, postseason berths

Photo by Jonathan Bates

On Wednesday morning, Off the Block released conference tournament seeding and berth scenarios for each conference. With last last night’s results, the MPSF tournament seeding picture is much clearer with today being the final day of regular season action.

The top seed in the MPSF Tournament gets a first-round bye and plays host to the semifinals and finals. In addition, the No. 2-4 seeds in this seven-team tournament field earn the right to host the first-round match at home.

MPSF standings

TeamMPSFOverallMB
y-T-1. Pepperdine8-318-6
y-T-1. UCLA8-318-7
y-3. USC6-515-8-2
x-4. BYU6-612-10-2.5
x-5. Stanford5-614-10-3
x-T-6. Grand Canyon3-813-14-5
x-T-6. Concordia-Irvine 3-814-17-5

LEGEND
x – Clinched postseason berth
y – Clinched home court for first round of postseason
z – Clinched conference regular season title and home court for conference tournament

Pepperdine
Match remaining: vs. No. 14 Concordia-Irvine (Tonight at 5 p.m. in Malibu, California)
Possible seeding: The Waves are guaranteed either to be the top seed or the No. 2 seed. Either a win over Concordia-Irvine or a UCLA loss to USC clinches that for top seed for the Waves. The Waves hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over UCLA by virtue of percentage of sets won (5 to 4). The last time Pepperdine won the MPSF regular season and hosted the conference tournament was 2005, the year they last won the NCAA title.

UCLA
Match remaining: vs. No. 6/7 USC (Tonight at 7 p.m. in Los Angeles, California)
Possible seeding: The Bruins in all likelihood will know before the match starts whether their match versus USC will have any impact on their seeding in the MPSF tournament. Like the Waves, they are locked into one of the two top seeds in the MPSF tournament. The last time the Bruins hosted the MPSF Tournament, senior starter Dylan Missry was not even a year old yet.

USC
Match remaining: vs. No. 5/5 UCLA (Tonight at 7 p.m. in Los Angeles, California)
Possible seeding: The Trojans are locked into the third seed, after BYU’s loss to Grand Canyon last night. Even if Stanford wins and the Trojans lose, all three of them (Stanford, USC, and BYU) would be tied at 6-6. The Trojans win the tiebreaker with based on percentage of sets won (9 of 17 vs. Stanford’s 10 of 19 and BYU’s 7 of 16); then Stanford would become the fourth seed, and BYU the fifth seed. If Stanford loses tomorrow and USC wins, both the Trojans and Cougars would finish 6-6, and USC wins the head-to-head tiebreaker based on percentage of sets won (4 to 3).

BYU
Match remaining: Regular season is finished
Possible seeding: BYU will either be the No. 4 or No. 5 seed in the MPSF tournament. They need Stanford to lose to Grand Canyon tomorrow, as the Cardinal hold the tiebreaker over the Cougars based on percentage of sets won (5 to 4). The importance of them hosting a first-round match cannot be understated as they are 6-0 at home this season, but 0-6 on the road in conference play.

Stanford
Match remaining: at Grand Canyon (Tonight at 6 p.m. in Phoenix, Arizona)
Possible seeding: Stanford will either be No. 4 or No. 5 seed in the MPSF tournament, but they control their own destiny. Just like BYU, the Cardinal are undefeated at home in conference play, but winless on the road. BYU won the head to match in Provo in #CincoSets, while Stanford won on the Farm in four games

Grand Canyon
Match remaining: vs. No. 9/9 Stanford (Tonight at 6 p.m. in Phoenix, Arizona)
Possible seeding: The Lopes control their fate in terms of securing the No. 6 seed in the MPSF tournament as they hold the head to tiebreaker based on percentage of sets won (4 to 3). Either a win over Stanford or Concordia-Irvine loss would secure them that No. 6 seed. Grand Canyon is 3-2 at home this year in conference play, while they are 0-6 on the road. Grand Canyon has lost on the road to the three potential opponents in the first-round of the MPSF tournament – Pepperdine, UCLA, and USC.

Concordia-Irvine
Match remaining: vs. No. 4/4 Pepperdine (Tonight at 5 p.m. in Malibu, California)
Possible seeding: The Eagles need to win and have Grand Canyon lose tonight in order for them to secure the No. 6 seed. Similar to Grand Canyon, Concordia-Irvine is 3-2 at home this year in conference play, while they are 0-5 on the road. The Eagles have lost on the road to two of the three potential opponents in the first-round of the MPSF tournament – UCLA and USC.