Bracketology numbers and notes to know for this weekend

Sure, the NCAA men’s volleyball committee doesn’t meet for another three months to finalize the NCAA Tournament field. However, the matches this weekend could have some big implications on the bracketology.

Check out everything you need to know about the college men’s volleyball bracketology so far this season and for the upcoming matches this weekend.

Conference RPI

Non-conference results are what ultimately determine a conference’s RPI ranking. The ranking is based on a conference’s combined winning percentage against NCAA opponents. Every conference match results in one winner and one loser, which in terms of conference winning percentage means it’s always guaranteed to be at .500. As a result, non-conference results are the greatest influence on a conference’s RPI rankings. Teams also benefit in their RPI ranking if they play in a league with a strong conference RPI because during the conference season they have an increased opportunity to play against teams with winning records and high RPI rankings. Below are the non-conference records for each NCAA Division I-II conference against other NCAA members this season.

Conference Record Winning Pct.
1. Big West 31-4 .886
2. MIVA 23-13 .639
3. MPSF 25-17 .595
4. EIVA 13-24 .351
5. ConfCarolinas 6-30 .167

Strength of schedule

Strength of schedule is one of the criteria categories the selection committee uses to determine the NCAA Tournament field. In addition, a team’s strength of schedule is part of the formula used to determine the RPI rankings. Below are the teams projected to have the best strength of schedule at the end of the season. The projections are based on match results so far this season.

Projected strength of schedule (as of Jan. 21)
1. Hawai’i
2. UC Santa Barbara
3. Stanford
4. UC San Diego
5. Concordia-Irvine
6. Lewis
7. UC Irvine
8. USC
9. McKendree
10. Loyola

Record against teams under consideration

The category of record against other teams under consideration for the NCAA Tournament is a piece of criteria that historically has helped shape the NCAA Tournament field. Below are the records for some notable teams against teams under consideration, according to Off the Block’s latest bracketology projections.

Record vs. under consideration teams
Long Beach State (1-0)
UCLA (3-0)
BYU (3-1)
Hawai’i (1-0)
Ohio State (0-2)
UC Irvine (1-1)
Loyola (1-1)
Penn State (0-1)
Barton (0-3)

Six is the magic number

No team with more than six losses during the regular season has earned an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament since the field expanded to include two at-large bids in 2014.

Nationally ranked teams already with at least three losses
No. 10/10 Lewis (3-3)
No. 13 USC (3-4)

Big bracketology matches this weekend

Below are the matches to watch this weekend that could have big implications on the bracketology at the end of the season

Thursday matches
Lewis vs. CSUN

Friday matches
BYU vs. UC Irvine
UCLA vs. Hawai’i

Saturday matches
Lewis vs. UC Santa Barbara
Loyola vs. CSUN
Ball State vs. Pepperdine
BYU vs. UC Irvine

Sunday matches
Ohio State vs. Penn State
UCLA vs. Hawai’i