Bracketology: Team comparisons using selection committee criteria

The latest bracketology had a nationally televised release on BYUtv last night, but now it’s time to get deep into the data.

Off the Block has crunched the numbers using the same criteria as the selection committee to show how the top teams in the nation fare against each other in the race for the two at-large bids and NCAA Tournament seeding.

Below are all of the criteria categories the selection committee uses to determine the NCAA Tournament field.
— RPI ranking
— Strength of schedule
— Won-lost results
— Head-to-head competition
— Results versus non-conference opponents
— Home and away results
— Results against common opponents
— Results against teams already qualified and other teams under consideration
— Eligibility and availability of student-athletes for NCAA championships.

Some selection committees in previous seasons have placed a greater emphasis on a certain categories. However, there is no requirement that the committee gives additional weight to a certain category.

The six-team NCAA Tournament will comprised of conference automatic bids from the MIVA, MPSF, EIVA and Conference Carolinas along with two at-large bids.

Here’s how the at-large bids and tournament seeding races look right now using the selection committee criteria and giving equal weight to each criteria category.

[Editor’s note: Teams projected to qualify or be under consideration are BYU, Hawai’i, Long Beach State, Ohio State, King, Lewis, Ball State, UC Irvine, UCLA.]

POTENTIAL NCAA TOURNAMENT SEEDING AND AT-LARGE BID BATTLES

Ohio State vs. Long Beach State
Projected RPI ranking: First RPI to be released later this month. Edge: Ohio State
Strength of schedule: Edge: Ohio State
Won-lost results: Ohio State 20-1; Long Beach State 20-2. Edge: Ohio State
Head-to-head competition: Ohio State won season series 1-0. Edge: Ohio State
Non-conference record: Ohio State 11-1; Long Beach State 6-1. Edge: Ohio State
Home record: Ohio State 12-1; Long Beach State 11-0. Edge: Long Beach State
Road record: Ohio State 8-0; Long Beach State 5-2. Edge: Ohio State
Record vs. common opponents: Ohio State 12-1; Long Beach State 12-1. Edge: Long Beach State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Ohio State 5-1; Long Beach State 5-1. Edge: Push
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Ohio State

Ohio State vs. BYU
Projected RPI ranking: First RPI to be released later this month. Edge: Ohio State
Strength of schedule: Edge: Ohio State
Won-lost results: Ohio State 20-1; BYU 18-2. Edge: Ohio State
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Ohio State 11-1; BYU 4-1. Edge: Ohio State
Home record: Ohio State 12-1; BYU 10-1. Edge: Ohio State
Road record: Ohio State 8-0; BYU 8-1. Edge: Ohio State
Record vs. common opponents: Ohio State 9-1; BYU 10-2. Edge: Ohio State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Ohio State 5-1; BYU 5-1. Edge: Push
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Ohio State

Long Beach State vs. BYU
Projected RPI ranking: First RPI to be released later this month. Edge: Long Beach State
Strength of schedule: Edge: BYU
Won-lost results: Long Beach State 20-2; BYU 18-2. Edge: Long Beach State
Head-to-head competition: Have not played each other yet. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Long Beach State 6-1; BYU 4-1. Edge: Long Beach State
Home record: Long Beach State 10-0; BYU 10-1. Edge: Long Beach State
Road record: Long Beach State 6-2; BYU 8-1. Edge: BYU
Record vs. common opponents: Long Beach State 15-1; BYU 17-2. Edge: Long Beach State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Long Beach State 5-1; BYU 5-1; 3-2. Edge: Push
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Long Beach State

BYU vs. Hawai’i
Projected RPI ranking: First RPI to be released later this month. Edge: BYU
Strength of schedule: Edge: BYU
Won-lost results: BYU 18-2; Hawai’i 18-3. Edge: BYU
Head-to-head competition: BYU leads season series 1-0. Edge: BYU
Non-conference record: BYU 4-1; Hawai’i 7-0. Edge: Hawai’i
Home record: BYU 10-1; Hawai’i 13-0. Edge: Hawai’i
Road record: BYU 8-1; Hawai’i 5-3. Edge: BYU
Record vs. common opponents: BYU 14-1; Hawai’i 12-2. Edge: BYU
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: BYU 5-1; Hawai’i 2-3. Edge: BYU
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: BYU

Hawai’i vs. UC Irvine
Projected RPI ranking: First RPI to be released later this month. Edge: Hawai’i
Strength of schedule: Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results: Hawai’i 18-3; UC Irvine 15-6. Edge: Hawai’i
Head-to-head competition: Hawai’i leads season series 1-0. Edge: Hawai’i
Non-conference record: Hawai’i 7-0; UC Irvine 6-0. Edge: Push
Home record: Hawai’i 13-0; UC Irvine 6-3. Edge: Hawai’i
Road record: Hawai’i 5-3; UC Irvine 8-3. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. common opponents: Hawai’i 12-3; UC Irvine 11-5. Edge: Hawai’i
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: UC Irvine 4-5; Hawai’i 2-3. Edge: UC Irvine
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Hawai’i

UC Irvine vs. UCLA
Projected RPI ranking: First RPI to be released later this month. Edge: UC Irvine
Strength of schedule: Edge: UCLA
Won-lost results: UC Irvine 15-6; UCLA 13-7. Edge: UC Irvine
Head-to-head competition: Season series tied at 1-1. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: UC Irvine 6-0; UCLA 5-1. Edge: UC Irvine
Home record: UC Irvine 6-3; UCLA 8-2. Edge: UCLA
Road record: UC Irvine 8-3; UCLA 4-5. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. common opponents: UC Irvine 10-4; UCLA 7-6. Edge: UC Irvine
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: UC Irvine 4-5; UCLA 3-5. Edge: UC Irvine
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: UC Irvine

Penn State vs. King
Projected RPI ranking: First RPI to be released later this month. Edge: King
Strength of schedule: Edge: Penn State
Won-lost results: Penn State 13-7; King 17-2. Edge: King
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other this season. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Penn State 7-5; King 7-1. Edge: King
Home record: Penn State 10-3; King 9-1. Edge: King
Road record: Penn State 5-3; King 8-1. Edge: King
Record vs. common opponents: Penn State 3-0; King 1-2. Edge: Penn State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Penn State 0-4; King 0-0. Edge: Penn State
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: King