Bracketology: Team comparisons using NCAA selection committee criteria

All the matches are over and now the only thing left is the number crunching before Selection Sunday.

Off the Block has crunched the numbers using the same criteria as the selection committee to show how the top teams in the nation fare against each other in the race for the two at-large bids and NCAA Tournament seeding.


Below is an excerpt from the NCAA handbook on the primary criteria the three-person volleyball selection committee will use determines the at-large team and seeding for the NCAA Tournament.
— RPI ranking
— Strength of schedule
— Won-lost results
— Head-to-head competition
— Results versus non-conference opponents
— Home and away results
— Results against common opponents
— Results against teams already qualified and other teams under consideration
— Eligibility and availability of student-athletes for NCAA championships.

Some selection committees in previous seasons have placed a greater emphasis on a certain categories. However, there is no requirement that the committee gives additional weight to a certain category.

The six-team NCAA Tournament will comprised of conference automatic bids from the MIVA, MPSF, EIVA and Conference Carolinas along with two at-large bids.

Here’s how the at-large bids and tournament seeding races look right now using the selection committee criteria and giving equal weight to each criteria category.

[Editor’s note: Teams projected to qualify or be under consideration are BYU, Long Beach State, UCLA, Stanford, Ohio State, Loyola, UC Santa Barbara, George Mason and Erskine.]

POTENTIAL NCAA TOURNAMENT SEEDING AND AT-LARGE BID BATTLES

Long Beach State vs. Stanford
Projected RPI ranking: Too close to call. Edge: Push
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: Stanford
Won-lost results: Long Beach State 24-7; Stanford 19-6. Edge: Long Beach State
Head-to-head competition: Season series tied at 1-1. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: Long Beach State 6-1; Stanford 2-0. Edge: Stanford
Home record: Long Beach State 11-3; Stanford 10-2. Edge: Stanford
Road record: Long Beach State 9-3; Stanford 9-4. Edge: Long Beach State
Record vs. common opponents: Long Beach State 17-5; Stanford 16-5. Edge: Long Beach State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Long Beach State 4-6; Stanford 4-5. Edge: Stanford
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Push

Long Beach State vs. UCLA
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: UCLA
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: UCLA
Won-lost results: Long Beach State 24-7; UCLA 25-6. Edge: UCLA
Head-to-head competition: UCLA leads season series 3-0 Edge: UCLA
Non-conference record: Long Beach State 6-1; UCLA 6-0. Edge: UCLA
Home record: Long Beach State 11-3; UCLA 12-3. Edge: UCLA
Road record: Long Beach State 9-3; UCLA 11-3. Edge: UCLA
Record vs. common opponents: Long Beach State 19-4; UCLA 18-6. Edge: Long Beach State
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: Long Beach State 4-6; UCLA 8-4. Edge: UCLA
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: UCLA

UCLA vs. Stanford
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: UCLA
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: UCLA
Won-lost results: UCLA 25-6; Stanford 19-6. Edge: UCLA
Head-to-head competition: Season series tied at 1-1. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: UCLA 6-0; Stanford 2-0. Edge: Push
Home record: UCLA 12-3; Stanford 10-2. Edge: UCLA
Road record: UCLA 11-3; Stanford 9-4. Edge: UCLA
Record vs. common opponents: UCLA 19-5; Stanford 17-5. Edge: UCLA
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: UCLA 8-4; Stanford 4-5. Edge: UCLA
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: UCLA

POTENTIAL NCAA TOURNAMENT SEEDING BATTLES

BYU vs. Ohio State
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: BYU
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: BYU
Won-lost results: BYU 26-3; Ohio State 28-2. Edge: Ohio State
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other this season. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: BYU 4-0; Ohio State 10-1. Edge: BYU
Home record: BYU 13-2; Ohio State 15-1. Edge: Ohio State
Road record: BYU 13-1; Ohio State 11-0. Edge: Ohio State
Record vs. common opponents: BYU 12-1; Ohio State 8-1. Edge: BYU
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: BYU 10-2; Ohio State 5-1. Edge: Push
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Push

UCLA vs. Ohio State
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: Ohio State
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: UCLA
Won-lost results: UCLA 25-6; Ohio State 28-2. Edge: Ohio State
Head-to-head competition: UCLA leads season series 1-0 Edge: UCLA
Non-conference record: UCLA 6-0; Ohio State 10-1. Edge: UCLA
Home record: UCLA 12-3; Ohio State 15-1. Edge: Ohio State
Road record: UCLA 11-3; Ohio State 11-0. Edge: Ohio State
Record vs. common opponents: UCLA 9-1; Ohio State 7-1. Edge: UCLA
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: UCLA 8-4; Ohio State 5-1. Edge: Ohio State
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Ohio State

George Mason vs. Erskine
Projected RPI ranking: Edge: Erskine
Projected strength of schedule: Edge: Erskine
Won-lost results: George Mason 18-11; Erskine 20-6. Edge: Erskine
Head-to-head competition: Did not play each other this season. Edge: Push
Non-conference record: George Mason 5-7; Erskine 2-3. Edge: George Mason
Home record: George Mason 9-6; Erskine 11-1. Edge: Erskine
Road record: George Mason 7-4; Erskine 8-5. Edge: George Mason
Record vs. common opponents: George Mason 6-1; Erskine 10-1. Edge: Erskine
Record vs. teams qualified or under consideration: George Mason 0-3; Erskine 0-2. Edge: Push
Eligibility and availability of athletes: Neither teams with serious injuries. Edge: Push
OVERALL EDGE: Erskine